NFL Week 4 Picks
Posted by Coach on September 28, 2007
Treaded water last week. 7-6-3 on sides and 9-6-1 on totals. Season total: 48-41-7. So we’re about dead even for the year, factoring in juice. Of course the golden lock hit. Have I mentioned I love Vince Young?

Alas, he’s got the week off. Rest up, Vince. I’m putting the pink slip on you next week.
To the picks…
Baltimore at Cleveland +4.5 (40) - Under
I really like the under here. The side, not so much. Tough call. Cleveland’s been playing people close - got screwed in Oakland last week, but still covered. This one’s gonna move when everyone loads up on Baltimore. Let ‘em hear you, Dawg Pound.
Chicago -3 at Detroit (45) - Under
Again, I like the total a lot. I’ve gotta think the defense + Griese makes the difference. Grossman has yet to cover this year. I think the Bears might make a run with a C+ at quarterback instead of an F-.
Green Bay -2 at Minnesota (3
- Under
I refuse to believe in Green Bay. But the Vikings are thunder stinky. This might move to more than a field goal. Beware. It’ll be tight. Green Bay’s D and special teams, not Favre, will make the difference.
Houston -2.5 at Atlanta (39.5) - Under
Look away, this game’s hideous. The Texans are playing smart, tight football. Gave Indy all they wanted. Atlanta, well, they smell funny. This one’s ugly. Can’t believe I’m giving points with the Texans on the road.
Jets at Buffalo +3.5 (37) - Over
Yet again, I’m stronger on the total. I really don’t know about the side. The Bills have been getting rolled and the Jets look relatively spunky. I don’t know. Give me the points.
Oakland +4 at Miami (41.5) - Under
Love the Raiders here. Might want to load up on ‘em - or throw ‘em on the moneyline. This is also a lot of points for two crappy offenses. I’m big both ways here. Though not quite golden lock material.
St. Louis at Dallas -13.5 (46.5) - Over
White running back alert. White running back alert. Rams are in big trouble - no Pace and no Steven Jackson. Cowboys can stay light in the box and drop some guys back into coverage, if they’re smart. By kickoff this will be 16. Not to worry. I say play the over in the Cowboys games from here on out. You’ll win more than you’ll lose.
Seattle at San Francisco +1.5 (41) - Over
I’m not impressed with Seattle. This one’s a little skewed because of the beating Pittsburgh gave the Niners, but that game was closer than the final score. This one goes way over.
Tampa Bay at Carolina -3 (39.5) - Over
This is assuming Delhomme plays. Well, I have to assume that, seeing as I’m making my picks on Friday. Either way, it goes over. I refuse to sell myself on Tampa.
Denver at Indy -10 (47.5) - Under
Pretty simple. Indy’s D is good, Denver’s O is bad. Especially if Javon Walker is out. This one will be ugly. Denver won’t score much.
KC +13 at San Diego (40) - Under
Another week, another cover for Herm. To quote Costanza, Let’s get nuts!

Stupid like a fox. Don’t let ‘em wear you down, Herm.
Pittsburgh at Arizona +6 (42.5) - Under
Pittsburgh, Green Bay, and Tampa have been burning me. Not anymore. I refuse to believe Pittsburgh is that good. And it’s costing me every week. Arizona is scrappy. They stick around. Nice backdoor cover last week against the Ravens. Plus, this one should be over a touchdown by kick off. Too many points. Under.
Philly at Giants +3 (4
- Under
New York is about to turn it around. Mark my words. This total is astronomical. Even with iffy defenses. Giants win outright, in a rumble.
New England +7.5
at Cincy (54) - Under
Yet again Coach gives you the golden lock of the week on Monday night. Nothing better. Ride the Patriots til they don’t cover. I’m scared to play the under here, but my mother taught me to never play over 53 on Monday night games.

Posted in Football, Sports | No Comments »







































